It is just a dream. But occasionally a dream is all you need.” That is what Billy Joel tells us. I thought it was Kenny Rogers who had been the gambler.
Yes, it may remunerate to be a fantasy/rotisserie geek since it is a great dry run for shining in the more important interest of gaming. I am aware our good buddy Rick Ballou of Sportingnews Radio does not play fantasy sports because he does not need to get that rooting brain teaser of betting on one side and having a player on another side to applaud.
The cheering conflict of interest away, the makebelieve General Manager will get a great deal of insight from your roto world. In the ancient times before the World Wide Web, I discovered that fantasy football had me analyzing from an extraordinarily distinct and favorable point of view than before I met betting’s cousin.
I ‘d situations like having Emmitt Smith in his prime when he was the inimitable running in the league. I can for example recall one week when two offensive linemen were out along with the Pokes were on the street. Plus I had Chris Warren when he was in Seattle and he was playing a team without their two best run stoppers. Can I consider benching the planet ‘s best running back because his matchup in not favorable? For the record, I stuck with Emmitt, but scrutiny like that really refined me into dissecting games like few handicappers had ever before.
Fantasy sports managing helped me breakdown enormous match up mismatches. It especially facilitated my acumen when it came to gambling over/unders. Rather often imprudent handicappers deduce that an injury to some key offensive player may mean fewer points or a key defensive player more points.
In my fantasy breakdowns it became rather clear that if a run blocker on the offensive line was damage, it could mean the team has to pass more. Kindred to that if your team’s top rusher were out and his back-up were an ample drop-off. Often teams to compensate will have to fiddle with their gameplan and in such examples open up their offense.
A depreciated offense will not mean lower scoring. Numerous sports speculators and general football fanatics fall prey to the myth the better an offense is, the more points they will number.
One of my favorite all time examples was in 2001 once Edgerrin James went down for the Colts. It glaringly repressed their offense, but using a great weapon in WR Marvin Harrison and QB Peyton Manning, there definitely was one way to cancel his loss: throw more often. Suckers discovered losing this kind of weapon would mean lower scoring matches. I knew while it depleted their offense, it meant they would need to be much more high octane. They exceeded the total in 14-of-16 regular season games.
Let us say that the defense is lacking their two best run stoppers because of harms and also the total is high, I further inquire to determine if it correlates for their opponent having motivation to run more. In that case, the final result would be longer properties, which also means fewer properties. Fewer properties mean fewer scoring opportunities.
A better offense is not necessarily a top scoring offense and to a lesser extent a first-class defense isn’t inexorably going to give up more points. A fantastic defense, whose strength is stopping the run, may force the opponent to take more risks. A bad defense that has a decent secondary could be run against more generally. Ergo the posted totals would be over-corrected.
Hence the most notable fantasy sports guidance sites may be priceless tools for sports cognation. Rotowire.com is the earliest and still the best all-around. Consummate in all sports, their judicious view for the roto player may also be incalculable for people.
Footballinjuries.com is, in addition, amazing for the NFL. Many sites do stupendous occupations of player against team or commonly better yet, player against coach profession statistical evaluations. For example Bill Belichick coached teams have such done tremendously well shutting down particular quarterbacks. We have found player history data can be of great handicapping worth as so long as one also examines how much the parameters have or never have changed. Everything in handicapping should be taken in its proper framework.
In fact, now every important sports site, from ESPN to Yahoo has dream info of some sort.
However, there are compelling comparisons too.
Really this appears to occur more in baseball with hotshot pitchers up in the minor leagues, but also can use in football. Joey Harrington may be great for the keeper league, but there’ll be peaks and valleys on the way. Actually a head to head league where a player changes his line-up is more conducive to handicapping than the rotisserie style leagues, but both are sources of knowledge.